The CRU weather generator is stochastic in nature, i.e., a different time series is produced each time it is run. Thus it is important to use output from multiple runs when evaluating performance (see BETWIXT technical briefing note 4) or scenario changes. For BETWIXT, the CRU weather generator has been run 100 times for each simulation set. A single time series has then been selected from the middle of the distribution of each simulation set for inclusion in the table below.
Output is available for
The weather generator time-series output and figures are available for public use, provided that the BETWIXT project is duly acknowledged. The BETWIXT co-ordinator (Clare Goodess) would like to be informed about any use of the data or figures outside the Building Knowledge for a Changing Climate programme.
The first four columns give: the station ID number; the year; the month; and the day. The weather generator is stochastic in nature, i.e., simulated years do not correspond to a 'real' year, thus the years are numbered 0001 to 0030 in all simulations. All years have 365 days, i.e., leap years are not included.
The first line of each file gives the site latitude and longitude.
In all figures, observed values (blue crosses) are the mean for the period shown in Table 2 of BETWIXT technical briefing note 1 (i.e., usually 1961-1990). The simulated values (red for the 1961-1990 control period and black for the scenario periods) are the mean of 100 30-year weather generator runs (red/black dots). The red/black lines and bars show the variability of the 100 series (plotted as plus/minus two standard deviations around the mean).
The control period figures are reproduced and discussed in BETWIXT technical briefing note 1. A technical briefing note describing the scenario figures is in preparation.
Emissions scenario | Control | Low | Medium Low | Medium High | High | |||||||||||||||
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Time period | 1970s | 2020s | 2050s | 2080s | 2020s | 2050s | 2080s | 2020s | 2050s | 2080s | 2020s | 2050s | 2080s | |||||||
Lat | Long | |||||||||||||||||||
Bradford ALL FIGURES ALL FILES | 53.82 | -1.77 | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | |||||
Coltishall ALL FIGURES ALL FILES | 52.77 | 1.35 | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | |||||
Elmdon ALL FIGURES ALL FILES | 52.45 | -1.73 | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | |||||
Eskdalemuir ALL FIGURES ALL FILES | 55.32 | -3.20 | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | |||||
Gatwick ALL FIGURES ALL FILES | 51.15 | -0.18 | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | |||||
Heathrow ALL FIGURES ALL FILES | 51.48 | -0.45 | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | |||||
Hemsby ALL FIGURES ALL FILES | 52.68 | 1.68 | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | |||||
Herstmonceux | 50.94 | 0.19 | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | |||||
Paisley ALL FIGURES ALL FILES | 55.86 | -4.43 | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | |||||
Ringway ALL FIGURES ALL FILES | 53.35 | -2.28 | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | |||||
Yeovilton ALL FIGURES ALL FILES | 51.00 | -2.63 | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: | 1: 2: 3: |
The percentile threshold values calculated from observed data which were used to calculate these extremes are available here (Excel spreadsheet).
Any questions about these data should be addressed to Clare Goodess.