Climatic Research Unit : Publications : By author

Publications list for Kelly, P.M

Please address corrections to cru@uea.ac.uk

Zhang, H.X., Kelly, P.M., Locke, C., Winkels, A. and Adger, W.N., 2006
“Migration in a transitional economy: Beyond the planned and spontaneous dichotomy in Vietnam.”
Geoforum, 37 (4) 1066-1081

Brooks, N., Adger, W.N. and Kelly, P.M., 2005
“The determinants of vulnerability and adaptive capacity at the national level and the implications for adaptation.”
Global Environmental Change 15(2), 151-163
(keywords: impacts adaptation global national level)

Eriksen, S.H., Brown, K. and Kelly, P.M., 2005
“The dynamics of vulnerability: locating coping strategies in Kenya and Tanzania”
The Geographical Journal, 171, No.4 287-305 The Royal Geographical Society
(keywords: Kenya, Tanzania, adaptation, household vulnerability, drought coping strategies, environmental change)

Kelly, P.M., Leuschner, H.H., Briffa, K.R. and Harris, I.C., 2002
“The climatic interpretation on pan-European signature years in oak ring-width series.”
The Holocene 12, 689-694 (R)
(keywords: climate change historical proxy tree rings dendro data oak time series)

Zhang, H.X., Kelly, P.M., Locke, C., Winkels, A. and Adger, W. N., 2001
“Structure and implications of migration in a transitional economy: Beyond the planned and spontaneous dichotomy in Vietnam.”
CSERGE Working Paper GEC 01-01, 33pp Centre for Social and Economic Research on the Global Environment, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich, U.K. (R)
(keywords: impacts southeast Asia Vietnam economic social climate change migration)

Adger, W.N., Kelly, P.M. and Tri, N.H., 2001
“Costs and benefits of mangrove conservation and restoration.”
In: Economics and Coastal and Water Resources: Valuing Environmental Functions (R.K. Turner, I.J. Bateman and W.N. Adger, Eds. pp.259-180 Kluwer, Dordrecht.
(keywords: costs benefits climate change impacts mitigation hydrology Vietnam mangroves)

Adger, W.N., Kelly, P.M. and Nguyen Huu Ninh, 2001
“Living with Environmental Change: Social Vulnerability, Adaptation and Resilience in Vietnam.”
314pp Routledge, London.
(keywords: climate change impacts mitigation Vietnam global warming book)

Adger, W.N., Kelly, P.M. and Nguyen Huu Ninh., 2001
“Environment, society and precipitous change.”
In: Living with Environmental Change: Social Vulnerability, Adaptation and Resilience in Vietnam (W.N. Adger, P.M. Kelly and Nguyen Huu Ninh, Eds.), pp.3-18 Routledge, London.
(keywords: climate change social economic impacts mitigation)

Adger, W.N. and Kelly, P.M., 2001
“Social vulnerability and resilience.”
Living with Environmental Change: Social Vulnerability, Adaptation and Resilience in Vietnam (W.N. Adger, P.M. Kelly and Nhuyen Huu Ninh, Eds.), pp.19-34 Routledge, London.
(keywords: social economic impacts climate change mitigation)

Kelly, P.M., Tran Viet Lien, Hoang Minh Hien, Nguyen Huu Ninh and Adger, W.N., 2001
“Managing environmental change in Vietnam.”
In: Living with Environmental Change: Social Vulnerability, Adaptation and Resilience in Vietnam (W.N. Adger, P.M. Kelly and Nguyen Huu Ninh, Eds.) pp.35-58 Routledge, London.l
(keywords: climate change global warming impacts social economic mitigation Vietnam)

Adger, W.N., Kelly, P.M., Nguyen Huu Ninh and Ngo Cam Thanh., 2001
“Property rights, institutions and resource management - coastal resources under doi moi.”
In: Living with Environmental Change: Social Vulnerability, Adaptation and Resilience in Vietnam (W.N. Adger, P.M. Kelly and Nguyen Huu Ninh, Eds.), pp.79-92 Routledge, London.
(keywords: climate change historical development impacts mitigation social economic)

Nguyen Hoang Tri, Phan Nguyen Hong, Adger, W.N. and Kelly, P.M., 2001
“Mangrove conservation and restoration for enhanced resilience.”
In: Living with Environmental Change: Social Vulnerability, Adaptation and Resilience in Vietnam (W.N. Adger, P.M. Kelly and Nguyen Huu Ninh, Eds.), pp.136-153 Routledge, London. (R)
(keywords: climate change global warming impacts mangroves Vietnam mitigation social economic)

Kelly, P.M., Hoang Minh Hien and Tran Viet Lien., 2001
“Responding to El Nino and La Nina: averting tropical cyclone impacts.”
Chapter 10 in: Living with Environmental Change: Social Vulnerability, Adaptation and Resilience in Vietnam (W.N. Adger, P.M. Kelly and Nguyen Huu Ninh, Eds.), pp.154-181 Routledge, London. (R)
(keywords: El Nino La Nina ENSO impacts climate change wind storms tropical cyclones mitigation)

Adger, W.N., Kelly, P.M. and Nguyen Huu Ninh., 2001
“Prospects for sustainable development.”
In: Living with Environmental Change: Social Vulnerability, Adaptation and Resilience in Vietnam (W.N. Adger, P.M. Kelly and Nguyen Huu Ninh, Eds.), pp.263-270 Routledge, London.
(keywords: development sustainable impacts climate change)

Kelly, M., 2001
“Climate co-operation or neo-colonial exploitation?”
Watershed 7(1), 66-67 ISSN 08591601
(keywords: climate change impacts mitigation political)

Adger, W.N., Kelly, P.M., Nguyen Huu Ninh and Thanh, N.C., 2001
“Coastal resources and management under the transition.”
In: Living with Environmental Change (Adger, W.N., Kelly, P.M. and Ninh, N.D. eds.), 79-92 Routledge, London.
(keywords: book)

Adger, W.N., Kelly, P.M. and Tri, N.H., 2001
“Valuing the ecosystem services from mangroves in tropical coastal zones.”
In: The Economics of Water and Coastal Resources (Turner, R.K., Bateman, I. and Adger, W.N., eds.), pp.259-279 Kluwer, Dordrecht
(keywords: mangroves ecosystem tropics climate change global warming SH)

Tri, N.H., Adger, W.N. and Kelly, P.M., 2001
“Natural resource management in mitigating climate impacts: mangrove restoration in Vietnam.”
In: Water Resources and Coastal Management (R.K. Turner and I.Bateman), pp.180-192 Edward Elgar: Cheltenham
(keywords: climate change impacts Vietnam South East Asia SH natural resources)

Kelly, P.M., 2000
“Towards a sustainable response to climate change.”
pp.118-141 in: Science and Environmental Decision Making (Eds. M. Huxgham and D. Sumner). Pearson Education, Harlow, 268pp. (R)
(keywords: climate change sustainability development impacts)

Locke, C., Adger, W.N. and Kelly, P.M., 2000
“Changing places: migration's social and environmental consequences.”
Environment 42(7), 24-35 (R)
(keywords: climate change impacts social economic development)

Kelly, P.M. and Adger, W.N., 2000
“Theory and practice in assessing vulnerability to climate change and facilitating adaptation.”
Climatic Change 47, 325-352 (R)
(keywords: methodology impacts vulnerability climate change adaptation)

Kelly, M., Granich, S. and Nguyen Huu Ninh (Eds.)., 2000
“Report of the Workshop 'The Impact of El Nino and La Nina on Southeast Asia', 12-23 February 2000, Hanoi, Vietnam.”
Center for Environmental Research Education and Development, Hanoi, Vietnam.
(keywords: ENSO southeast Asia Vietnam global warming climate change impacts)

Kelly, P.M., Jones, P.D. and Pengqun, J., 1999
“Spatial patterns of variability in the global surface air temperature data set.”
Journal of Geophysical Research 104(D20), 24237-24256 (R)
(keywords: variability global surface air temperature datasets methodology)

Adger, W.N. and Kelly, P.M., 1999
“Social vulnerability to climate change and the architecture of entitlements.”
(IPCC Special Issue on 'Adaptation to Climate Change and Variability'). Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 4(3-4), pp.253-266 (R)
(keywords: impacts climate change economic social policy adaptation global warming)

Kelly, P.M. and Adger, W.N., 1999
“Assessing vulnerability to climate change and facilitating adaptation.”
CSERGE Working Paper GEC 99-07. Centre for Social & Economic Research on the Global Environment, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich, U.K.
(keywords: climate change impacts adaptation)

Kelly, M., 1998
“Into the greenhouse century.”
People and the Planet (Last Word) 7(1), p29 (R)
(keywords: forecasting scenarios greenhouse warming global)

Nguyen Hoan Tri, Adger, W.N. and Kelly, P.M., 1998
“Natural resource management in mitigating climate impacts: the example of mangrove restoration in Vietnam.”
Global Environmental Change 8(1), 49-61 (R)
(keywords: mangroves Vietnam environmental management global warming impacts climate change)

Kelly, P.M., Jones, P.D., Robock, A. and Briffa, K.R., 1998
“The contribution of Hubert H. Lamb to the study of volcanic effects on climate.”
Weather (Hubert Lamb Commemorative Issue) 53(7), 209-222 (R)
(keywords: Hubert Lamb volcanoes climate change global methodology)

Adger, W.N., Kelly, P.M. and Tri, N.H., 1998
“Economic value of mangrove restoration as local resource and storm protection in Vietnam.”
In: Forestry in a Changing Political Environment: Challenges for the 21st Century (P. Mushove, M. Mubaiwa, M. Mukwekwerere and C. Pfukwa, Eds.), pp.159-165 Commonwealth Forestry Association and Zimbabwe Forestry Commissions: Harare, Zimbabwe.
(keywords: economic Vietnam environmental impacts SH Asia development political)

Kelly, M. and Granich, S., 1997
“The challenge of climate change.”
The Courier, No. 163, May-June 1997 44-46 (R
(keywords: climate change, greenhouse)

Adger, W.N., Kelly, P.M. and Tri, N.H., 1997
“Valuing the products and services of mangrove restoration”
Commonwealth Forestry Review 76(3), 198-202 (R)
(keywords: mangrove climate change cost benefit analysis economic valuation Vietnam)

Kelly, M. and Granich, S., 1997
“Climate Change. (Briefing Document)”
Powerful Information, Milton Keynes.
(keywords: climate change global warming impacts)

Jones, P.D., Osborn, T.J., Wigley, T.M.L., Kelly, P.M. and Santer, B.D., 1997
“Comparisons between the microwave sounding unit temperature record and the surface temperature record from 1979 to 1996: real differences or potential discontinuities?”
Journal of Geophysical Research 102(D25), 20,135-30,145 (R)
(keywords: microwave temperature surface methodology statistics)

Davies, T.D., Kelly, P.M. and Osborn, T., 1997
“Explaining the climate of the British Isles.”
In: Climates of the British Isles (Eds. M. Hulme and E. Barrow), pp.11-32 Routledge.
(keywords: climate change UK regional historical)

Adger, W.N., Kelly, M., Nguyen Huu Ninh and Ngo Cam Thanh., 1997
“Property rights and the social incidence of mangrove conversion in Vietnam.”
CSERGE Working Paper GEC 97-21. Centre for Social & Economic Research on the Global Environment, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich, U.K.
(keywords: social economic mangrove impacts Vietnam climate change)

Jones, P.D., Osborn, T.J., Wigley, T.M.L., Kelly, P.M. and Santer, B.D., 1997
“Comparisons between MSU2R temperature record and the surface temperature record over 1979 to 1996: real differences or potential discontinuities?”
Journal of Geophysical Research 102, 30135-30145
(keywords: temperature surface climate change analysis statistics)

Jones, P.D., Osborn, T.J., Wigley, T.M.L., Kelly, P.M. and Santer, B.D., 1997
“Potential discontinuities in the MSU2R temperature record revealed by comparisons with the surface record over 1979 to 1996.”
Journal of Geophysical Research, 102 30135-30145

Kelly, P.M., Jones, P.D. and Briffa, K.R., 1997
“Classifying the winds and weather.”
In, Climates of the British Isles: present, past and future. (Eds. M. Hulme and E. Barrow) 153-172 Routledge, London

Tri, Nguyen Hoang., Adger, N., Kelly, M., Granich, S. and Ninh, Nguyen Huu., 1996
“The role of natural resource management in mitigating climate impacts: Mangrove restoration in Vietnam.”
CSERGE Working Paper GEC 96-06 (Centre for Social and Economic Research on the Global Environment), 27pp CSERGE, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich NR4 7TJ. (R)
(keywords: impacts climate change Vietnam)

Jia Pengqun and Kelly, P.M., 1996
“The identification of the volcanic signal in global surface temperature records.”
Acta Meteorologica Sinica 10(2), 222-232 (R)
(keywords: volcanoes global warming surface temperature historical)

Kelly, P.M., Jones, P.D. and Jia Pengqun, 1996
“The spatial response of the climate system to explosive volcanic eruptions.”
International Journal of Climatology 16(5), 537-550 (R)
(keywords: climate change volcanoes)

Jones, P.D. and Kelly, P.M., 1996
“The effect of tropical explosive volcanic eruptions on surface air temperature.”
pp.95-111 in: The Mount Pinatubo Eruption Effects on the Atmosphere and Climate (Eds. G. Fiocco, D. Fua and G. Visconti). NATO ASI Series, Vol.142, Springer-Verlag, Berlin, Heidelberg. (R)
(keywords: volcanos surface air temperature climate change)

Kelly, P.M., 1996
“Climate change: Factor X.”
pp.12-15 in: Water, Land Use and Sustainable Development, Proceedings Paper No. 3 of the East Anglian SARD Working Group (Ed. T. Oram). 52pp Farmer's Link. (R)
(keywords: climate change hydrology agriculture impacts development)

Kelly, P.M. and Jones, P.D., 1996
“Removal of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation signal from the gridded surface air temperature data set.”
Journal of Geophysical Research 101(D14), 19,013-19,022 (R)
(keywords: ENSO air temperature datasets methodology climate change global warming)

Kelly, M.,, 1996
“Sea level rise and the Thames Barrier.”
Acropolis, Anno 1, n.4, Issue 11, 66-68 (R)
(keywords: sea level)

Rao, P.G., Kelly, P.M. and Hulme, M., 1996
“Recent climatic change, greenhouse gas emissions and future climate: the implications for India.”
Theoretical and Applied Climatology 55, 41-64 (R)
(keywords: climate change, greenhouse, energy)

Wan Azli Wan Hassan, Chan Ah Kee, Holt, T. and Kelly, P.M., 1996
“Modelling the impact of forest conversion on climate: a review.”
In: Conservation, Management and Development of Forest Resources, pp.332-348
(keywords: modelling forestry impacts climate change methodology review)

Kelly, P.M., Pengqun, J. and Jones, P.D., 1996
“The spatial temperature response to large volcanic eruptions.”
International Journal of Climatology, 16 537-550

Jones, P.D. and Kelly, P.M., 1996
“Recent warmth in 1994/95 and the role of the circulation in the divergence between surface and MSU2R temperatures since the mid 1980s. (Ed. D.R. Rodenhuis)”
Proceedings of the Twentieth Climate Diagnostics Workshop 5-8 U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA.

Ojwang, J.B., Hulme, M., Conway, D., Kelly, P.M., Subak, S. and Downing, T.E., 1995
“Greenhouse gas emissions and their impacts.”
pp.49-84 in: A Climate for Development: Climate Change Policy Options for Africa (Eds. H.W.O. Okoth-Ogendo and J.B. Ojwang), 264pp ACTS Press/SEI, Nairobi, Kenya.
(keywords: global warming CO2 greenhouse gas impacts)

Okoth-Ogendo, H.W.O., Ogallo, L., Hulme, M., Conway, D., Kelly, P.M., Subak, S. and Downing, T.E., 1995
“Global climate change and the environment.”
pp.11-46 in: A Climate for Development: Climate Change Policy Options for Africa (Eds. H.W.O. Okoth-Ogendo and J.B. Ojwang), 264pp ACTS Press/SEI, Nairobi, Kenya.
(keywords: global climate change impacts Africa)

Hulme, M., Conway, D., Kelly, P.M., Subak, S. and Downing, T.E., 1995
“The Impacts of Climate Change on Africa.”
46pp SEI, Stockholm, Sweden.
(keywords: climate change impacts Africa)

Hulme, M., Conway, D., Kelly, P.M., Subak, S. and Downing, T.E., 1995
“The impacts of climate change on Africa.”
CSERGE Working Paper CEG 95-04, 60pp University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK.
(keywords: climate change impacts Africa)

Kelly, P.M. and Holt, T., 1995
“Hurricane Risk on the Gulf and Atlantic Coasts of the United States: An Update.”
Report produced for Harvey Bowring and Others, London.
(keywords: hurricanes USA coastal risk assessment)

Kelly, M. and Granich, S., 1995
“Global warming and development.”
pp.69-107 in People and Environment (Eds. S. Morse and M. Stocking), 215pp UCL Press, London. (R)
(keywords: global warming development political economic social)

Hulme, M., Conway, D., Kelly, P.M., Subak, S. and Downing, T.E., 1995
“The Impacts of Climate Change on Africa.”
CSERGE Working Paper GEC 95-04. University of East Anglia, Norwich, 60pp.
(keywords: climate change Africa impacts)

Rao, P.G., Kelly, P.M. and Hulme, M., 1995
“Economic growth while protecting the environment: some issues relevant to the Indian energy sector.”
CSERGE Working Paper GEC 95-34. University of East Anglia, Norwich, 65pp.
(keywords: economic impacts environment energy India)

Low, P.S., Kelly, P.M. and Davies, T.D., 1994
“Trends in surface ozone over Europe, 1978-1990.”
In: Ozone in the Troposphere and Stratosphere, Part 1. Proceedings of the Quadrennial Ozone Symposium 1992, held in Charlottesville, Virginia, USA. pp.3-6 NASA Conference Publication 3266, National Aeronautics and Space Administration, USA. (R)
(keywords: ozone Europe historical datasets)

Kelly, P.M., Jones, P.D., Diaz, H.F. and Wigley, T.M.L., 1994
“Recent global warmth moderated by the effects of the Mount Pinatubo eruption.”
pp.5-8 in: Proc. 18th Annual Climate Diagnostics Workshop, held in Boulder, Colorado, November 1-5, 1993. U.S. Dept. of Commerce/NOAA, U.S.A. (R)
(keywords: global warming volcanoes)

Kelly, P.M., Granich, S.L.V. and Secrett, C.M., 1994
“Global warming: responding to an uncertain future.”
Asia Pacific Journal on Environment and Development 1(1), 28-45 (R)
(keywords: global warming impacts greenhouse effect)

Rao, P.G., Kelly, P.M., Hulme, M. and Srinivasan, G., 1994
“Climatic change, greenhouse gas emissions, future climate and response strategies: the implications for India.”
CSERGE Working Paper GEC 94-22, 63pp University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK.
(keywords: climate change greenhouse gas CO2 future management India impacts)

Jones, P.D. and Kelly, P.M., 1994
“The effect of large explosive volcanic eruptions on surface air temperature.”
pp.125-134 in: Large Explosive Eruptions. Atti dei Convegni Lincei 112, Accademia Nazionale dei Lincei, Rome.
(keywords: volcanoes surface air temperature impacts)

Low, P.S., Davies, T.D. and Kelly, P.M., 1994
“Trends in surface ozone over Europe 1978-1991.”
In: Ozone in the Troposphere and Stratosphere, Part 1. Proc. Quadrennial Ozone Symp., Univ. of Virginia, Chartlottesville, 1992: NASA, Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD 20771, USA, pp.3-6
(keywords: ozone surface Europe pollution)

Hulme, M. and Kelly, P.M., 1993
“Exploring the links between desertification and climate change.”
Environment 35(6), 4-11 & 39-45 paper (R)
(keywords: desertification climate change methodology drought)

Hulme, M. and Kelly, P.M., 1993
“Climate Change, Desertification and Dessication, and the case of the Afri can Sahel.”
CSERGE Working Paper GEC 93-17, 37pp The Centre for Social and Economic Research on the Global Environment , University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK. (R)
(keywords: climate change desertification drought Sahel Africa regional)

Kelly, P.M. and Hulme, M., 1993
“Climate scenarios for the Indian subcontinent and the Himachal Pradesh region.”
27pp Climatic Research Unit, Norwich/International Institute for Environment and Development, London. (R)
(keywords: India climate change scenarios)

Davies, T.D., Farmer, G., Kelly, P.M., Glover, G.M., ApSimon, H.M. and Barthelmie, R.J., 1992
“Surface pressure pattern indicators of mean monthly pollutant concentrations in southern Scandinavian precipitation: a test using case studies of months with high and low concentrations of non-marine sulphate and nitrate.”
Atmospheric Environment 26A, 261-278 (R)
(keywords: pollution Europe precipitation sulphate nitrate surface pressure)

Davies, T.D., Kelly, P.M., Low, P.S. and Pierce, C.E., 1992
“Surface ozone concentrations in Europe: links with regional-scale atmospheric circulation.”
Journal of Geophysical Research 97(D9), 9819-9832 (R)
(keywords: surface ozone Europe regional atmospheric circulation pollution)

Hulme, M. and Kelly, P.M., 1992
“Climate change, desertification and dessication with particular emphasis on the African Sahel.”
A Briefing Paper prepared for the Overseas Development Administration, 26pp (R)
(keywords: climate change desertification Africa water)

Hulme, M. and Kelly, P.M., 1992
“Climate Scenarios for the SADCC Region.”
Prepared for the IIED/UEA/WCU Project on "Climate Change and the Third World", 24pp CRU/IIED, Norwich. (R)
(keywords: climate change modelling Africa scenarios)

Kelly, P.M. and Wigley, T.M.L., 1992
“Solar cycle length, greenhouse forcing and global climate.”
Nature 360, 328-330 (R)
(keywords: solar cycles greenhouse forcing global climate change)

Low, P.S. and Kelly, P.M., 1992
“Variations in surface ozone trends over Europe.”
Geophysical Research Letters 19(11), 1117-1120 (R)
(keywords: surface ozone Europe pollution trends)

Wigley, T.M.L., Jones, P.D., Kelly, P.M. and Hulme, M., 1992
“Recent global temperature changes: ozone and aerosol influences.”
pp.194-202 in: Proceedings 16th Annual Climate Diagnostics Workshop (Ed. D.R. Rodenhuis), 451pp NOAA, U.S. Dept. Commerce.
(keywords: global temperature ozone aerosols pollution impacts)

Jones, P.D., Raper, S.C.B., Cherry, B.S.G., Goodess, C.M., Wigley, T.M.L., Santer, B., Kelly, P.M., Bradley, R.S. and Diaz, H.F., 1991
“An Updated Global Grid Point Surface Air Temperature Anomaly Data Set: 1851-1990.”
ORNL/CDIAC-37, NDP-020/R1, Environmental Sciences Division Publication No.3520. Oak Ridge National Laboratory.
(keywords: surface air temperature datasets historical records observations)

Kelly, P.M., 1991
“Global warming: implications for the Thames Barrier and associated defenses.”
In: Impact of Sea Level Rise on Cities and Regions (Ed. R. Frassetto), pp.93-98 Marsilio, Venice. (R)
(keywords: global warming sea level impacts climate change UK Europe)

Kelly, P.M. and Farmer, G., 1991
“Detecting global warming.”
In: A Change in the Weather - African Perspectives on Climatic Change (Eds. S.H. Ominde and C. Juma), pp.61-75 African Centre for Technology Studies, Nairobi, Kenya.
(keywords: global warming detection modelling statistics methodology)

Low, P.S. and Kelly, P.M., 1991
“Global warming and climatic change: African perspectives.”
Interdisciplinary Science Reviews 16, 207-210
(keywords: global warming climate change Africa impacts)

Low, P.S., Davies, T.D. and Kelly, P.M., 1991
“European Surface Ozone Data Manual. (First Edition)”
National Power Contract No.LC/3/0030. Climatic Research Unit, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK.
(keywords: surface ozone datasets Europe methodology)

Low, P.S., Davies, T.D., Kelly, P.M. and Reiter, R., 1991
“Uncertainties in surface ozone trend at Hohenpeissenberg.”
Atmospheric Environment 25A, 511-515 (R)
(keywords: surface ozone trends Europe Germany pollution observations)

Briffa, K.R., Jones, P.D. and Kelly, P.M., 1990
“Principal component analysis of the Lamb catalogue of daily weather types: Part 2, Seasonal frequencies and an update to 1987.”
International Journal of Climatology 10, 549-563 (R)
(keywords: statistics LWTs methodology)

Kelly, P.M., 1990
“Greenhouse Effect.”
In: Proc. 'Automotive and Industrial Fuel Combustion - Environmental and Health Implications' (Eds. J. Brothwood and A. Fish), London, November 22 1989, pp.107-114 Institute of Petroleum, London.
(keywords: greenhouse warming impacts CO2)

Kelly, P.M., 1990
“Halting Global Warming (Ed. J. Leggett).”
Report prepared for Greenpeace International, Amsterdam, in the Climate in Crisis series, 46pp Oxford University Press.
(keywords: global warming greenhouse impacts CO2 pollution)

Kelly, P.M. and Farmer, G., 1990
“Detecting global warming.”
In: A Change in the Weather: African Perspectives on Climatic Change, Proc. Nairobi Conference, May 2-4 1990 (Eds. S.H. Ominde and C. Juma), pp.61-75 ACTS, Nairobi. (R)
(keywords: global warming greenhouse detection methodology statistics)

Kelly, P.M. and Wigley, T.M.L., 1990
“The influence of solar forcing trends on global mean temperature since 1861.”
Nature 347, 460-462 (R)
(keywords: solar trends global temperature historical records observations impacts)

Low, P.S., Davies, T.D., Kelly, P.M. and Farmer, G., 1990
“Trends in surface ozone at Hohenpeissenberg and Arkona.”
Journal of Geophysical Research 95, 22441-22453 (R)
(keywords: ozone surface Germany Europe datasets pollution trends)

Turner, R.K., Kelly, P.M. and Kay, R., 1990
“Cities at Risk.”
Bureau of National Affairs, London.
(keywords: sea level climate change global warming CO2 UK Europe)

Wigley, T.M.L. and Kelly, P.M., 1990
“Holocene climatic change, 14C wiggles and variations in solar irradiance.”
Phil. Trans. R. Soc. Lond. A. 330, 547-650 (R)
(keywords: climate change CO2 solar trends cycles historical records proxy)

Low, P.S., Davies, T.D., Kelly, P.M. and Farmer, G., 1990
“Trends in surface ozone at Hohenpeissenberg and Arkona”
Journal of Geophysical Research 95, 22441-22453
(keywords: ozone Germany Europe)

Davies, T.D., Kelly, P.M., Low, P.S. and Pierce, C.E., 1990
“Surface ozone in Europe: trends and links to atmospheric circulation.”
Final Report CEGB contract R21.4.4. 244/TD, 326pp.
(keywords: ozone surface pollution atmospheric circulation Europe impacts)

Davies, T.D., Kelly, P.M., Farmer, G., Low, P.S., Barthelmie, R.J. and Pierce, C.E., 1989
“Surface ozone concentrations in Europe: trends and climatological controls.”
Presented at: Int. Conf. on the Generation of Oxidants on Regional and Global Scales. University of East Anglia, 3-7 July 1989.
(keywords: ozone Europe climate change surface trends pollution impacts)

Farmer, G. and Kelly, P.M., 1989
“Evidence for climatic change.”
In: Proc. 'A Conference on Global Climatic Change: Perspectives from Developing Countries', New Delhi, India, February 21-23, 1989, pp.47-58 Tata Energy Research Institute, New Delhi, India. (R)
(keywords: climate change historical records proxy tree rings)

Farmer, G., Davies, T.D., Barthelmie, R.J. and Kelly, P.M., 1989
“The control of atmospheric pressure patterns of sulphate concentrations in precipitation at Eskdalemuir, Scotland.”
International Journal of Climatology 9, 181-189 (R)
(keywords: atmospheric pressure sulphate precipitation UK pollution Scotland UK)

Gribbin, J. and Kelly, P.M., 1989
“Winds of Change. Living with the Greenhouse Effect.”
Headway, Sevenoaks.
(keywords: greenhouse warming impacts book)

Jones, P.D., Kelly, P.M., Goodess, C.M. and Karl, T.R., 1989
“The effect of urban warming on the Northern Hemisphere temperature average.”
Journal of Climate 2, 285-290 (R)
(keywords: global warming NH temperature impacts)

Kelly, P.M., 1989
“Defence of the environment.”
In: Pathways to International Security, pp.69-80 United Nations Assoc. of Great Britain and Professions for World Disarmament and Development, London.
(keywords: environment)

Kelly, P.M. and Granich, S., 1989
“The greenhouse effect.”
Natural World 25, 6-8
(keywords: greenhouse warming impacts)

Kelly, P.M. and Karas, J.H.W., 1989
“Ice Accretion in the Barents Sea: Phase 3.2.”
Report prepared for British Petroleum (London) Ltd and Statoil (Norway). Climatic Research Unit, Norwich.
(keywords: sea ice glaciology)

Kelly, P.M., Munro, M.A.R., Hughes, M.K. and Goodess, C.M., 1989
“Climate and signature years in west European oaks.”
Nature 340, 57-60 (R)
(keywords: climate change dendro Europe tree rings proxy)

Wigley, T.M.L., Jones, P.D., Kelly, P.M. and Raper, S.C.B., 1989
“Statistical significance of global warming.”
In: Proc. 13th Annual Climate Diagnostic Workshop (Ed. D.R. Rodenhuis), pp.A1-A8 NOAA, U.S. Dept. of Commerce.
(keywords: statistics global warming)

Farmer, G., Davies, T.D., Barthelmie, R.J., Kelly, P.M. and Brimblecombe, P., 1989
“The control by atmospheric pressure patterns of sulphate concentrations in precipitation at Eskdalemuir, Scotland.”
Int. Journ. Climatol. 9, 181-189
(keywords: atmosphere pressure chemistry air Scotland precipitation UK)

Davies, T.D., Farmer, G., Glover, C.M., Barthelmie, R.J., Kelly, P.M. and Brimblecombe, P., 1988
“Precipitation composition and climatic change (Scotland and southern Scandinavia).”
In: Recent Climatic Change - a Regional Approach (Ed. S. Gregory), pp.79-89 Belhaven Press, London.
(keywords: precipitation chemistry climate change UK Europe Scandinavia)

Davies, T.D., Palutikof, J.P., Holt, T. and Kelly, P.M., 1988
“Variations in the wind resource over the British Isles for potential power production.”
In: Recent Climatic Change: A Regional Approach (Ed. S. Gregory), pp.69-78 Belhaven Press, London.
(keywords: wind energy speed UK regional)

Dickson, R.R., Kelly, P.M., Colebrook, J.M., Wooster, W.S. and Cushing, D.H., 1988
“North winds and production in the eastern North Atlantic.”
Journal of Plankton Research 10, 151-169
(keywords: wind oceanology NH)

Jones, P.D. and Kelly, P.M., 1988
“Causes of interannual temperature variations over the period since 1861.”
In: Long and Short Term Variability of Climate (Eds. H. Wanner and U. Siegenthaler), pp.18-34 Springer-Verlag, Berlin.
(keywords: temperature historical climate change)

Karas, J.H.W. and Kelly, P.M., 1988
“The Heat Trap.”
Friends of the Earth, London.
(keywords: global warming climate change)

Karas, J.H.W., Kelly, P.M., Harrison, J., Salmon, M., Loset, S. and Vefsnmo, S., 1988
“Ice Accretion in the Barents Sea. Volume 2,”
Report prepared for British Petroleum Development (Norway) Ltd., 200pp NHL, Trondheim/CRU, Norwich.
(keywords: sea ice)

Vefsnmo, S., Loset, S., Kelly, P.M., Karas, J.H.W., Harrison, J. and Salmon, M., 1988
“Ice Accretion in the Barents Sea. Volume 1.”
105pp Report prepared for British Petroleum Development (Norway) Ltd. NHL, Trondheim/CRU, Norwich.
(keywords: sea ice)

Barthelmie, R.J., Davies, T.D., Farmer, G., Kelly, P.M. and Brimblecombe, P., 1987
“Links between changing atmospheric circulation patterns and sulphate and nitrate in precipitation.”
In: Acid Rain: Scientific and Technical Advances (Eds. R. Berry, R.M. Harrison, J.N.B. Bell and J.N. Lester), pp.175-182 Belper, London.
(keywords: atmospheric sulphate nitrate precipitation)

Bradley, R.S., Diaz, H.F., Eischeid, J.K., Jones, P.D., Kelly, P.M. and Goodess, C.M., 1987
“Precipitation fluctuations over Northern Hemisphere land areas since the mid-19th century.”
Science 237, 171-175 (R)
(keywords: precipitation NH land historical)

Bradley, R.S., Diaz, H.F., Jones, P.D. and Kelly, P.M., 1987
“Secular fluctuations of temperature over the Northern Hemisphere land areas and mainland China since the mid-19th century.”
In: The Climate of China and Global Climate (Eds. D. Ye, C. Fu, J. Chao and M. Yoshino), pp.76-87 China Ocean Press, Beijing.
(keywords: temperature NH land China historical)

Davies, T.D., Barthelmie, R.J., Brimblecombe, P., Farmer, G. and Kelly, P.M., 1987
“Regional patterns of sulphate and nitrate deposition in Europe.”
Presented at: Sixth International Symposium of the CACGP on Global Atmospheric Chemistry, Peterborough, Ontario, August 1987.
(keywords: sulphate nitrate regional Europe)

Davies, T.D., Kelly, P.M., Brimblecombe, P., Farmer, G. and Barthelmie, R.J., 1987
“The Contribution of Atmospheric Circulation and Air Trajectory Variability to the Changing Pattern of Acidic Deposition in Europe.”
Report to the Commission of the European Communities, Contract No.EV3V.0921.UK(H), 170pp
(keywords: atmospheric circulation air Europe pollution acid rain)

Farmer, G., Barthelmie, R.J., Davies, T.D., Brimblecombe, P. and Kelly, P.M., 1987
“Nitrate and sulphate in precipitation: concentration and deposition at Eskdalemuir, Scotland.”
Presented at: Sixth International Symposium of the CACGP on Global Atmospheric Chemistry, Peterborough, Ontario, August 1987.
(keywords: nitrate sulphate precipitation pollution UK)

Kelly, P.M. and Karas, J.H.W., 1987
“Nuclear Winter.”
In: The World Encyclopedia of Peace. Pergamon, Oxford.
(keywords: nuclear winter)

Kelly, P.M., Goodess, C.M. and Cherry, B.S.G., 1987
“The interpretation of the Icelandic sea ice record.”
Journal of Geophysical Research 92, 10,835-10,843 (R)
(keywords: Iceland sea ice datasets)

Kelly, P.M., Karas, J.H.W. and Wigzell, M., 1987
“Potential Effects of Nuclear War on the Atmosphere, Weather and Climate of the Greater London Area.”
Report to the GLAWARS Board of Commissioners. Polytechnic of the South Bank, London.
(keywords: nuclear winter atmospheric meteorology climate change UK regional)

Palutikof, J.P., Davies, T.D., Kelly, P.M. and Halliday, J.A., 1987
“Temporal and spatial variations in hourly windspeeds over the British Isles.”
In: Proc. European Wind Energy Conference 1986 (Ed. W. Palz and E. Sesto), pp.231-236 ISES, Rome.
(keywords: wind energy UK speed data)

Palutikof, J.P., Halliday, J.A., Davies, T.D., Bass, J.H., Holt, T., Watkins, C.P. and Kelly, P.M., 1987
“Development of a site wind-regime prediction methodology for Britain: work in progress.”
Wind Energy Conversion 1987 (Ed. J.M. Galt), 271-278 Mechanical Engineering Publ., London. (R)
(keywords: wind energy forecasting methodology UK)

Palutikof, J.P., Kelly, P.M., Davies, T.D. and Halliday, J.A., 1987
“Impacts of spatial and temporal windspeed variability on wind energy output.”
Journal of Climate and Applied Meteorology 26, 1124-1133 (R)
(keywords: impacts wind energy)

Sear, C.B., Kelly, P.M., Jones, P.D. and Goodess, C.M., 1987
“Global surface temperature response to major volcanic eruptions.”
Nature 330, 365-367 (R)
(keywords: global surface temperature volcanoes)

Wigley, T.M.L., Jones, P.D. and Kelly, P.M., 1987
“Global temperature variations, 1861-1986.”
In: Proc. Eleventh Annual Climate Diagnostics Workshop, held Champaign, Illinois, October 14-17 1986, pp.47-53 U.S. Dept. of Commerce. (R)
(keywords: global temperature climate change historical)

Farmer, G., Barthelmie, R.J., Davies, T.D., Brimblecombe, P. and Kelly, P.M., 1987
“Relationships between concentration and deposition of nitrate and sulphate in precipitation.”
Nature 328(6133), 787-789 (R)
(keywords: pollution acid rain precipitation nitrate sulphate impacts)

Palutikof, J.P., Davies, T.D., Kelly, P.M., Halliday, J. and Bass, J., 1987
“Assessment of wind potential at prospective wind energy convertor sites.”
Report to UKAEA. 131pp. Climatic Research Unit, University of East Anglia, 131pp.
(keywords: wind energy speed methodology)

Davies, T.D., Kelly, P.M., Brimblecombe, P. and Gair, A.J., 1987
“Surface ozone concentrations and climate: preliminary analysis.”
Climate Monitor 16(2), 52-61
(keywords: ozone surface climate change impacts)

Palutikof, J.P., Kelly, P.M., Davies, T.D. and Halliday, J.A., 1987
“Impacts on energy output from wind turbines arising from spatial and temporal variability in wind regimes.”
Journ. Clim. Applied Met. 26(9), 1124-1133
(keywords: energy wind speed impacts climate change)

Davies, T.D., Kelly, P.M., Brimblecombe, P. and Gair, A.J., 1987
“Surface ozone concentrations and climate: preliminary analysis.”
In: Proceedings of the WMO Conference on Air Pollution Modelling and its Application (Vol. 2), 348-356 WMO/TD No. 187.
(keywords: ozone climate change surface impacts)

Bradley, R.S., Diaz, H.F., Eischeid, J.K., Jones, P.D., Kelly, P.M. and Goodess, C.M., 1987
“Precipitation fluctuations over Northern Hemisphere land areas since the mid-19th century.”
Science 237, 171-175
(keywords: precipitation NH historical records climate change)

Jones, P.D., Raper, S.C.B., Bradley, R.S., Diaz, H.F., Kelly, P.M. and Wigley, T.M.L., 1986a
“Northern Hemisphere surface air temperature variations: 1851-1984.”
Journal of Climate and Applied Meteorology 25, 161-179 (R)
(keywords: NH surface air temperature climate change historical)

Davies, T.D., Kelly, P.M., Brimblecombe, P. and Gair, A.J., 1986
“Surface ozone concentrations and climate: preliminary analysis.”
Presented at: WMO Conference on Air Pollution Modelling and its Applications, Leningrad, USSR, 29-24 May 1986. (R)
(keywords: ozone climate change methodology)

Davies, T.D., Kelly, P.M., Brimblecombe, P., Farmer, G. and Barthelmie, R.J., 1986
“Acidity of Scottish rainfall influenced by climatic change.”
Nature 322(6077), 359-361 (R)
(keywords: acid rain UK rainfall climate change Scotland impacts)

Kelly, P.M. and Karas, J.H.W., 1986
“No Place to Hide: Nuclear Winter and the Third World.”
Press Briefing Document 43. Earthscan, London.
(keywords: nuclear winter climate change agriculture global)

Kelly, P.M., Goodess, C.M., Jones, P.D. and Wigley, T.M.L., 1986
“Recent changes in surface air temperature over the northern land masses.”
In: Proc. First WMO Workshop on the Diagnosis and Prediction of Monthly and Seasonal Atmospheric Variations over the Globe. WMO Long-range Forecasting Research Report Series, No.6, Vol.1., pp.59-63 WMO Geneva.
(keywords: surface air temperature NH climate change forecasting)

Palutikof, J.P., Davies, T.D., Kelly, P.M. and Halliday, J.A., 1986
“Meteorological and statistical characteristics of high and low windspeed months over the British Isles: a preliminary analysis.”
In: Wind Energy Conversion 1986 (Eds. M.B. Anderson and S.J.R. Powles), pp.71-78 Mechanical Engineering Publications Ltd., London. (R)
(keywords: meteorology statistics wind speed UK methodology energy)

Palutikof, J.P., Kelly, P.M. and Davies, T.D., 1986
“Windspeed variations and climatic change.”
Wind Engineering 10(4), 182-189 (R)
(keywords: wind speed climate change energy)

Wigley, T.M.L., Jones, P.D. and Kelly, P.M., 1986
“Empirical climate studies: warm world scenarios and the detection of climatic change induced by radiatively active gases.”
Ch.6 in: The Greenhouse Effect, Climatic Change, and Ecosystems (Eds. B. Bolin, B.R. Doos, J. Jager and R.A. Warrick), pp.271-323 SCOPE series, Wiley. (R)
(keywords: climate change methodology scenarios global warming greenhouse detection CO2)

Wigley, T.M.L., Kukla, G.J., Kelly, P.M. and MacCracken, M.C., 1986
“Recommendations for monitoring and analysis to detect climate change induced by increasing carbon dioxide.”
In: Detecting the Climatic Effects of Increasing Carbon Dioxide (Eds. M.C. MacCracken and F.M. Luther), pp.177-185 Department of Energy, Carbon Dioxide Research Division, Washington DC.
(keywords: observations CO2 climate change methodology detection)

Bradley, R.S., Kelly, P.M., Jones, P.D., Goodess, C.M. and Diaz, H.F., 1985
“A Climatic Data Bank for Northern Hemisphere Land Areas, 1851-1980.”
Technical Report TRO17, 335pp U.S. Dept. of Energy, Carbon Dioxide Research Division.
(keywords: datasets climate change NH land historical)

Gordon, G.A., Lough, J.M., Fritts, H.C. and Kelly, P.M., 1985
“Comparison of sea-level pressure reconstructions from western North American tree rings with a proxy record of winter severity in Japan.”
Journal of Climate and Applied Meteorology 24, 1219-1224
(keywords: sea level pressure reconstruction USA tree rings Japan)

Jones, P.D., Kelly, P.M. and Santer, B.D., 1985
“Global surface air temperature variations, 1983-84.”
In: Proc. Ninth Annual Climate Diagnostics Workshop (Ed. W.D. Bonner), pp.1-10 U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA.
(keywords: global surface air temperature climate change historical)

Jones, P.D., Kelly, P.M., Goodess, C.M., Bradley, R.S. and Diaz, H.F., 1985
“Effects of urbanization and other sources of inhomogeneity on the Northern Hemisphere surface air temperature average.”
In: Extended Summaries, Third Conference on Climate Variations and Symposium on Contemporary Climate: 1850-2100, pp.19-20 American Meteorological Society, Boston.
(keywords: impacts NH surface air temperature regional)

Jones, P.D., Raper, S.C.B., Santer, B.D., Cherry, B.S.G., Goodess, C.M., Kelly, P.M., Wigley, T.M.L., Bradley, R.S. and Diaz, H.F., 1985
“A Grid Point Surface Air Temperature Data Set for the Northern Hemisphere.”
Technical Report TRO22, 251pp U.S. Dept. of Energy, Carbon Dioxide Research Division.
(keywords: datasets surface air temperature NH)

Kelly, P.M. and Campbell, D.A., 1985
“Large-scale water transfers in Siberia.”
In: Siberie 1. Questions Siberiennes: economie, ecologie, strategie, pp.209-220 IMSECO, Paris, France. (R)
(keywords: hydrology USSR)

Kelly, P.M. and Sear, C.B., 1985
“The climate impact of explosive volcanic eruptions.”
In: Extended Summaries, Third Conference on Climate Variations and Symposium on Contemporary Climate: 1850-2100, pp.178-179 American Meteorological Society, Boston.
(keywords: climate change impacts volcanoes)

Kelly, P.M., Jones, P.D., Wigley, T.M.L., Goodess, C.M., Bradley, R.S. and Diaz, H.F., 1985
“The extended Northern Hemisphere surface air temperature record: 1851-1984.”
In: Proc. 3rd Conf. on Climatic Variations and Symposium on Contemporary Climate: 1850-2100, pp.35-36 American Meteorological Society.
(keywords: NH surface air temperature datasets historical)

Palutikof, J.P., Davies, T.D. and Kelly, P.M., 1985
“The variability of the wind field over the British Isles: implications for windpower production.”
Final Research Report to the Central Electricity Generating Board, 85pp Climatic Research Unit, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK.
(keywords: wind energy speed UK power)

Palutikof, J.P., Davies, T.D. and Kelly, P.M., 1985
“An analysis of seven long-term wind-speed records for the British Isles with particular reference to the implications for wind power production.”
In: Wind Energy Conversion 1985 (Ed. A. Garrad), pp.235-240 Mechanical Engineering Publications Ltd., London.
(keywords: wind speed energy UK)

Palutikof, J.P., Kelly, P.M. and Davies, T.D., 1985
“An analysis of the spatial and temporal variations of the wind field over the British Isles.”
In: Proc. European Wind Energy Conference 1984 (Ed. W. Palz), pp.65-70. H.S. Stephens and Associates, Bedford.
(keywords: wind speed energy UK methodology)

Farmer, G. and Kelly, P.M., 1984
“Climatic variation in the North Sea region.”
In: Seabed Mechanics (Ed. B. Denness), pp.223-231 Graham and Trotman, London. (R)
(keywords: climate change oceans Europe North Sea)

Goodess, C.M., Wigzell, M. and Kelly, P.M., 1984
“The design of a climatic data bank and information retrieval system.”
In: Proc. Tenth Northern Libraries Colloquy (Eds. J.A. Whittick and B.D. Rodden), pp.89-111 C-CORE Publication No.84-19. C-CORE, Memorial University of Newfoundland, St. John's.
(keywords: climate change datasets methodology)

Holt, T., Kelly, P.M. and Cherry, B.S.G., 1984
“Cryospheric impacts of Soviet river diversion schemes.”
Annals of Glaciology 5, 61-68 (R)
(keywords: hydrology USSR)

Hughes, M.K., Schweingruber, F.H., Cartwright, D. and Kelly, P.M., 1984
“July-August temperature at Edinburgh between 1721 and 1975 from tree-ring density and width data.”
Nature 308, 341-344 (R)
(keywords: temperature UK tree rings historical datasets reconstruction)

Kelly, P.M., 1984
“Climatic change: past lessons and future prospects.”
In: Proc. Expert Consultation to Examine the Changes in Abundance and Species Composition of Neritic Fish Resources. F.A.O. Fisheries Report No. 291, Vol. 3, pp.595-605 F.A.O., Rome, Italy.
(keywords: climate change historical impacts political)

Kelly, P.M., 1984
“Not with a bang but a winter.”
New Scientist 103, 33-36
(keywords: nuclear winter climate change)

Kelly, P.M., 1984
“Recent climatic variations in the North Atlantic sector.”
Rapp. Reun. Const. Int. Explor. Mer 9, 222-229 (R)
(keywords: climate change oceans NH)

Kelly, P.M. and Jones, P.D., 1984
“Global surface air temperature variations 1982-3.”
In: Proc. 8th Annual Climate Diagnostics Workshop (Ed. J.L. Rasmussen), pp.26-35 U.S. Department of Commerce, Washington, D.C.
(keywords: global surface air temperature climate change historical)

Kelly, P.M. and Sear, C.B., 1984
“Climatic impact of explosive volcanic eruptions.”
Nature 311, 740-743 (R)
(keywords: climate change impacts volcanoes)

Kelly, P.M., Karas, J.H.W. and Williams, L.D., 1984
“Arctic climate: past, present and future.”
In: Proc. Symposium on Arctic Whaling, pp.25-38 Arctic Centre, University of Groningen, The Netherlands. (R)
(keywords: climate change NH historical Arctic)

Palutikof, J.P., Davies, T.D. and Kelly, P.M., 1984
“A data bank of wind speed records for the British Isles and offshore wate rs.”
In: Wind Energy Conversion 1984 (Ed. P. Musgrove), pp.414-425 Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
(keywords: datasets wind energy UK)

Palutikof, J., Davies, T.D. and Kelly, P.M., 1984
“A data bank of wind speed records for the British Isles and offshore waters.”
In: Wind Energy Conversion, Proc. 6th BWEA Wind Energy Conference (Ed. P. Musgrove), pp.414-425 Cambridge University Press.
(keywords: wind speed power UK regional)

Jones, P.D. and Kelly, P.M., 1983
“The spatial and temporal characteristics of Northern Hemisphere surface a ir temperature variations.”
Journal of Climatology 3, 243-252 (R)
(keywords: statistics NH surface air temperature)

Jones, P.D., Kelly, P.M. and Tu Qipu., 1983
“Global surface air temperature variations 1981-1982.”
In: Proc. 7th Annual Climate Diagnostics Workshop (Ed. J.L. Ras mussen), pp.80-88 U.S. Dept. of Commerce, Washington, D.C. (R)
(keywords: global surface air temperature climate change historical)

Kelly, P.M., 1983
“Klimaatvoorspelling.”
Natuur en Techniek 4, 256-271
(keywords: climate change)

Kelly, P.M., 1983
“The prediction of climate.”
Natuur en Techniek 51, 272-287
(keywords: forecasting climate change)

Kelly, P.M. and Jones, P.D., 1983
“The evidence for cycles on solar time scales in climate data.”
In: Weather and Climate Responses to Solar Variations (Ed. B.M. McCormac), pp.581-590 Colorado Associated University Press. (R)
(keywords: cycles solar climate change datasets)

Kelly, P.M., Campbell, D.A., Micklin, P.P. and Tarrant, J.R., 1983
“Large-scale water transfers in the USSR.”
GeoJournal 7, 201-214 (R)
(keywords: hydrology climate change USSR)

Raper, S.C.B., Wigley, T.M.L., Jones, P.D., Kelly, P.M., Mayes, P.K. and Limbert, D.W.S., 1983
“Recent temperature changes in the Arctic and Antarctic.”
Nature 306, 458-459 (R)
(keywords: temperature climate change Arctic Antarctic)

Hughes, M.K., Kelly, P.M., Pilcher, J.R. and LaMarche, V.C. (Jr) (Eds .), 1982
“Climate from Tree Rings.”
233pp Cambridge University Press.
(keywords: climate change detection dendro tree rings reconstruction book)

Jones, P.D. and Kelly, P.M., 1982
“Principal component analysis of the Lamb Catalogue of Daily Weather Types : Pt. 1, Annual Frequencies.”
Journal of Climatology 2, 147-157 (R)
(keywords: statistics datasets LWTs)

Jones, P.D., Wigley, T.M.L. and Kelly, P.M., 1982
“Variations in surface air temperatures: Pt. 1, Northern Hemisphere, 1881- 1980.”
Monthly Weather Review 110, 59-70 (R)
(keywords: surface air temperature climate change global warming historical)

Kelly, P.M., 1982
“Changes in the weather.”
Water Bulletin 20, 11-13
(keywords: climate change meteorology impacts agriculture social industry hydrolo gy human)

Kelly, P.M., 1982
“Climate and climatic change.”
In: Cambridge Encyclopaedia of the Earth Sciences (Ed. D.G. Smi th), pp.297-310 Cambridge University Press.
(keywords: climate change statistics datasets historical impacts)

Kelly, P.M., 1982
“Northern Hemisphere: climatic context.”
In: Climate from Tree Rings (Eds. M.K. Hughes, P.M. Kelly, J.R. Pilcher and V.C. LaMarche, Jr.), pp.105-107 Cambridge University Press.
(keywords: NH climate change climatology)

Kelly, P.M. and Jones, P.D., 1982
“Northern Hemisphere surface air temperatures, 1881-1981.”
In: Proc. 6th Annual Climate Diagnostics Workshop (Ed. J.S. Win ston), pp.28-31 U.S. Dept. of Commerce, Washington, D.C.
(keywords: NH surface air temperature historical datasets reconstruction)

Kelly, P.M. and Palutikof, J.P., 1982
“Facing up to the weather.”
Marxism Today 65, 14-17 (R)
(keywords: climate change impacts)

Kelly, P.M. and Sear, C.B., 1982
“The formulation of Lamb's Dust Veil Index.”
In: Atmospheric Effects and the Potential Climate Impact of the 1980 Eruption of Mt. St. Helens (Ed. A. Deepak), pp.293-298 NASA Conference Publication 22401, Washington, D.C. (R)
(keywords: methodology meteorology volcanoes)

Kelly, P.M., Jones, P.D., Sear, C.B., Cherry, B.S.G. and Tavakol, R.K ., 1982
“Variations in surface temperatures: Pt.2, Arctic regions, 1881-1980.”
Monthly Weather Review 110, 71-83 (R)
(keywords: surface temperature Arctic historical)

Kelly, P.M., Wigley, T.M.L. and Jones, P.D., 1982
“Comment on 'Detecting carbon dioxide effects on climate' by W.H. Klein.”
In: Carbon Dioxide Review: 1982 (Ed. W.C. Clark), pp.246-251 Oxford University Press, New York.
(keywords: CO2 detection climate change global warming impacts)

Kelly, P.M., 1981
“Die Klimavorhersage tappt im Nebel.”
Umschau in Wissenschaft und Technik 18, 566-569
(keywords: climate change)

Wigley, T.M.L., Jones, P.D. and Kelly, P.M., 1981
“Global warming.”
Nature 291, 285 (R)
(keywords: global warming climate change CO2 impacts modelling datasets)

Kelly, P.M. (and others), 1980-89
“Series of twenty confidential reports on Arctic ice conditions for Britis h Petroleum.”
Climatic Research Unit, University of East Anglia, Norwich NR4 7TJ, U .K.
(keywords: Arctic sea ice)

Hughes, M.K., Kelly, P.M., Pilcher, J.R. and LaMarche, V.C. (Jr.) (Ed s.), 1980
“Report and Recommendations of the Second International Workshop on Global Dendroclimatology.”
The Organizing Committee of the Second International Workshop on Glob al Dendroclimatology, Norwich.
(keywords: global climate change dendro tree rings climatology)

Kelly, P.M., 1980
“Climate: historical perspective and climatic trends”
In: Atlas of Drought in Britain 1975-76 (Eds. J.C. Doornkamp, K .J. Gregory and A.S. Burn), pp.9-11 Institute of British Geographers, London.
(keywords: climate change historical records reconstruction forecasting)

Sear, C.B. and Kelly, P.M., 1980
“Eruptions of Mt. St. Helens: effects on climate.”
Nature 285, 533-535
(keywords: volcanoes climate change impacts)

Wigley, T.M.L., Jones, P.D. and Kelly, P.M., 1980
“Scenario for a warm, high CO2 world.”
Nature, 283 17-21

Chance, A. and Kelly, P.M., 1979
“An apparent periodicity in an index of volcanic activity.”
Nature 280, 671-672 (R)
(keywords: methodology cycles volcanoes)

Gribbin, J. and Kelly, P.M., 1979
“Climatic impact of Soviet river diversions.”
New Scientist 84, 762-765
(keywords: climate change USSR hydrology impacts)

Kelly, P.M., 1979
“An Arctic sea ice data set, 1901-1956.”
Report Glaciological Data 5, Workshop on Snow Cover and Sea Ice Data. pp.101-106 World Data Center A for Glaciology, Boulder, Colorado 80309, USA.
(keywords: Arctic sea ice datasets historical records reconstruction snow)

Kelly, P.M., 1979
“Solar influence on North Atlantic MSL pressure (extended abstract).”
In: Solar-Terrestrial Influences on Weather and Climate (Eds. B .M. McCormac and T.A. Seliga), pp.297-298 D. Reidel, Dordrecht.
(keywords: solar Atlantic sea level pressure)

Kelly, P.M., 1979
“Towards the prediction of climate.”
In: Endeavour (New Series) 3(4), pp.176-182 Pergamon Press.
(keywords: forecasting climate change)

Tavakol, R.K. and Kelly, P.M., 1979
“CO2 and climatic change.”
Chemistry and Industry 7, 231-232
(keywords: CO2 climate change impacts)

Kelly, P.M. and Wright, P.B., 1978
“The European drought of 1975-76 and its climatic context.”
Progress in Physical Geography 2, 238-263
(keywords: Europe drought historical records climate change reconstruction)

Nichols, H., Kelly, P.M. and Andrews, J.T., 1978
“Holocene palaeo-wind evidence from palynology in Baffin Island.”
Nature 273, 140-142
(keywords: palaeo wind regional historical records)

Kelly, P.M., 1977
“Solar influence on North Atlantic mean sea level pressure.”
Nature 269, 320-322
(keywords: solar Atlantic sea level pressure)

Kelly, P.M., 1977
“Volcanic dust veils and North Atlantic climatic change.”
Nature 268, 616-617
(keywords: volcanoes Atlantic climate change oceans atmospheric)

Kelly, P.M., 1976
“Changing climate of the North Atlantic.”
Nature 263, 636-638
(keywords: climate change Atlantic oceans NH)

Kelly, P.M., 1976
“Physical basis of climatology, the factors which influence climate.”
Physics Bulletin 27, 305-307
(keywords: climatology methodology)

Kelly, P.M. and Lamb, H.H., 1976
“Prediction of volcanic activity and climate.”
Nature 262, p5.
(keywords: forecasting volcanoes climate change impacts)

Kelly, P.M., 1975
“Climatic Change in the North Sea Region.”
Ph.D. Thesis. University of East Anglia.
(keywords: climate change oceans North Sea regional)

Kelly, P.M., 1975
“Long-term trends of weather and climate affecting operations at sea.”
In: Proceedings, Oceanology International 75, pp.263-268 BPS, London. (R)
(keywords: meteorology climate change oceans impacts historical weather)

Kelly, P.M., 1975
“Statistics and climate change.”
Nature 255, 108-109
(keywords: statistics climate change methodology)


Last updated: February 2010